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The Depreciation Of The Dollar Once Again Led To A Surge In Commodity Prices.

2010/11/5 14:22:00 29

US Dollar Goods

  

US dollar depreciation

And China buying to make ICE cotton continue to refresh the high point since the civil war.


Overnight, due to the depreciation of the US dollar, a new low of 09 years since December, while the purchase from China is still strong. The US cotton export weekly shows that the US cotton exports 629 thousand and 100 packs a week (137 thousand tons), while the Sino US cotton price still has a huge price difference. The strong competitiveness of the US cotton prices is the main factor for the rise of trade buying. Under the many favorable factors, the fund continues to buy cotton and make the US cotton market hit the limit. The final contract in December ended up 4.93 cents to 140.45 cents / pound, continuing the long-term upward trend and continuing to refresh the new high since the civil war.

At present, the fundamentals will not change significantly in the short term, and the depreciation trend of the dollar will continue, so that the future ICE cotton is expected to continue to rise under the impetus of business and fund buying.


Technically,

ICE cotton

The price of cotton is still on the short term. The average price system will maintain a good upward trend. The KD and MACD indicators will continue to rise. The MACD index will continue to grow. The long-term rally will continue. The contract will adjust the pressure level of 15 cents / pound in December. It is recommended to keep the idea of keeping a long position in the ICE cotton market and pay attention to the support position of the December contract of 130 cents / pound.


At present, Zheng Mian is above.

Spot cotton price

Friday is the last day before the Zhengzhou commodity exchange will implement the new regulation on abnormal trading behavior, and seven ministries have issued a circular to maintain the order of the current cotton market. Meanwhile, the Beijing market has issued the notice on the prevention and control of electronic commerce in November 4th, and the market policy pressure has increased.

At the same time, it is understood that the current situation of cotton sales in the mainland is not very ideal, and the short-term funds are facing the risk of leaving the field. This is also the main reason for the recent two days of Zheng cotton's high position.

In this case, it is impossible to catch up with high prices. If the 1105 contracts stand on a solid basis of 30000 yuan / ton, a small number of stocks will be held. Otherwise, more profits will be left.

The value of the hedge will be increased to meet the planned proportion.

(Wanda futures Urumqi Sales Department Du Ying)


Commodity prices skyrocketed, ICE cotton has been unable to predict the absolute price.


The international market rose sharply last night, and the US dollar fell below the level since the beginning of December last year. The ICE cotton market touched a further 5 cents trading limit, and its closing rate also surged to a record high.


Last night, investors in the international market responded positively to the $600 billion quantitative easing policy announced by the Federal Reserve on Wednesday. The dollar fell below the level since the beginning of December last year, triggering a surge in the stock market and commodities, of which cereals rose 2.6%, soft commodities rose 2.2%, and sugar rose 5%.

Silver futures rose 6.2%, a 30 year high.

Gold futures rose 3.4%, hitting a record high of $1384.80.

Crude oil futures rose 2.1%, to close at $86.49 a barrel, a 7 month high.

US stocks rose nearly 2% on Thursday, almost recovering the losses suffered since the collapse of Lehman brothers.

As expected, the Fed's move has become a booster for further growth in commodities.

On the basis of cotton, the export data released by USDA on the week ended October 28th showed that the signing of the US cotton contract increased by 1 times as much as that of the previous week, to 127 thousand and 200 tons, of which China signed 74 thousand and 700 tons as the first buyer. It is also the largest week of the single week signing in China since the year.


Zheng cotton yesterday morning to explore the sharp fluctuations in the market, the afternoon reduced significantly, the price is substantially stronger, closing price hit a new high, the trend of the market will continue to strong, the underlying high prices gradually recognized by the downstream enterprises, the expected tension is further aggravated, and so on, will continue to boost prices, and as of yesterday, the cotton production period cotton nearly 700 yuan, the trend of the market, 30 thousand may only be the psychological price.

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